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remember back in 2004, george w. bush got obliterated by john kerry in the first debate. it was one of the worst performances in a debate i've ever seen. remember he asked for the extra time? then he'd just look in the camera and go, it's hard. it's hard. and yet he still won. this is not -- this keeps the game going, right? >> it do. i think -- i kept thinking about mark twain. the rumors of romney's political death were greatly exaggerated, but twain still died. >> well, there is that. god. thank you this morning for that insight. >> can we go to breaking news or a developing banner on that one? mark twain, dead. >> still dead. >> still dead. >> but i thought it was as -- i think '04 -- >> you know, he's funnier in central time zone. i'm sorry, go ahead. >> on something. >> you should see the stat yuue they have of willie geist down here. >> it's huge. >> i'm going to cite my -- the person who knows most about politics in my life, my 8-year-old daughter who came in and asked, why is president obama so mad? >> there you go. >> walked by the screen. >> i think that's a really, you k
bush jr. that's george w. bush, of course, or president obama? we will take a look at history's greatest debate moments. [ male ] sponges take your mark. ♪ [ female announcer ] one drop of ultra dawn has twice the everyday grease cleaning ingredients of one drop of the leading non-concentrated brand... ♪ [ crowd cheering ] ...to clean 2x more greasy dishes. dawn does more. so it's not a chore. i knew it'd be tough on our retirement savings, especially in this economy. but with three kids, being home more really helped. man: so we went to fidelity. we talked about where we were and what we could do. we changed our plan and did something about our economy. now we know where to go for help if things change again. call or come in today to take control of your personal economy. get free one-on-one help from america's retirement leader. [ male announcer ] isn't always the one you plan to take. whoa, check it out. hey baby goat... no that's not yours... [ hikers whispering ] ...that's not yours. [ goat bleats ] na, na, na -- no! [ male announcer ] now you can take a photo right f
george w. bush that cost him a lot. - >> rolling his eyes and -- >> the lock box that nobody understood what he was talking about. and the way -- even the way his makeup looked. one of the problems of these debates anymore, it's not just substance, people are looking at eye rolls and body language, george herbert walker bush famously looked at his wristwatch and it cost him. there's every little nuance, there's the transcript and the television tape and i think the tape trumps transcript in the end. >> ultimately does he really have to participate? could. he say, i'm so busy running this country, look what's happening, the amount of time that i have to put into debate prep and the like, do you really think he would come off as a spoiled sport? >> impossible for him to do that. the last time a president tried, what you're essentially calling the rose garden strategy where a president says i'm too busy to get into the american little game doesn't work. he's got to weather through this and, look, he's a great debater and mitt romney, who did a fairly good job during the g ork p runoff. so
forward to 1982. george h.w. bush was on the ropes over bill clinton when casper weinberger was imply indicated in the iran/contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news for bush that he did not need. in 2004 a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th just four days before election day in a raz orthin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11 it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. more recently the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year though most have centered around foreign policy others have been about the economy like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisers say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order for an october surprise to have a real 11th hour impact it has to feed into a narrative that already exist, whether it's carter's ineffectiveness or questions about mccain's credentials on the economy. >> it's not so much that suddenly eure
obama won the state. in 2004, george w. bush beat senator john kerry with 52% of the vote, and we all remember what happened in 2000 between vice president gore and george w. bush. how difficult is it to handicap the race in florida? >> well, i'd say it's pretty close to impossible. your poll -- your poll this week basically showed what ours showed about a week and a half ago, that it was a one-point race. and as anne mentioned, there are these economic head winds. florida is at 8.8%. people feel that. this isn't a state where we've had a thriving auto sector. we have really no manufacturing here. so you can't talk about the auto bailout. you know, we have a home building industry, and that's essentially been in the tank. the state's home foreclosure race is among the highest in the nation. probably the third highest, if i'm not mistaken. so you have this as the backdrop. and there's a really broad sense among people that the country's headed in the wrong direction, that the state's headed in the wrong direction, and it's difficult for obama to sell that sense of optimism he had befor
's got to do what george w. bush did in 2000 at one point in the evening and run the board. he's got to win all of these swing states. >> he does. the good news, it's headed the right direction. >> he can do it. >> absolutely. in late september, early october 2000, we were down three to five points. everybody said the campaign was completely screwed up. everybody should be fired. george bush went on to win all three debates, run the tables, as you've said, and turn it around and was up three. so it's absolutely possible. and i think this is big stakes. i mean, this is really an opportunity where people -- >> tonight is -- tonight is a huge debate. it really is. >> it's huge for all the obvious reasons. >> for the obvious reasons. >> but there's a lot of people that have heard a lot about romney and really haven't seen him. >> right. >> tonight they're going to get to see him all alone, mano a mano, and it's a real opportunity for them to get a sense of who he is, what he believes because they've just heard a lot. they haven't seen it. they're going to see it tonight. this is a real o
the american people what you are going to do, why should we believe that you are not going to do what george w. bush did and what ronald reagan did. >> there is one element of truth. did the deduction side. the truth is the entire thing is up to congress. the president proposes the notion of the way that he should go. the side thea that he can stand up there and not tell anyone in america what he will veto if congress tries to do their mortgage deduction is a complete altercation of it. >> in which what you are supposed to do as a president is tell the american people and i guess congress the popular part of what you would do but it would be overstepping to sell to them the tough parts required to make it work. and if the president isn't going to be able to go out and get support for the hard parts. the tax cut part, that is the easy bit. >> thank you for joining me tonight. >> coming up, paul ryan keeps saying it takes too long to explain the math of his budget plan. but i think joe biden will let him have all the time that he needs let's week and later it is mitt romney versus big bird and i
might have thought george w. bush had trouble with. >> eliot: you're right. romney came across as smart. that's what affected it. doug, my question was every time i heard the $5 trillion gig, why did the president not turn to him and say if you do not plan to add a $5 trillion revenue loss what loopholes will you close? give us the broad brush outlines because without that, you don't have credibility. it would have seemed to me to be the appropriate response. >> absolutely. he could have just kept pressing him and i -- before the debate, my whole view was the president needs to spend little bit of time on defense and then just go on the offense. because mitt romney is so vulnerable to attacks not only on his current policies but on his previous policies and in being a flip-flopper and certainly his time as a businessman which really didn't come up that much which was surprising. certainly the president didn't press it but you didn't hear a lot about mitt romney talking about and bragging about how he created jobs bec
that in 1984, reagan's first debate was a disaster. george w. bush's debate was a disaster. i don't think it will be a disaster. but you saw on the univision interview. when you are abe incumbent president you are not used to being challenged. bill: what do you think the impact of a potential exchange like we just watched will have on this 15% rasmussen is talking about? >> rich is right. it depends on what it is. there was another debate moment in 2008 that seemed to change the trajectory a little bit. remember when hillary was told people don't like her and she said that hurts my feelings and it was kind of like funny, self-deprecating moment, and it seemed to move women voters in a way. you can't ever really know. there could just be some sort of moment that moves people in a certain direction, though. i think the bigger issue is mitt romney making people feel like i'm a goodall tern tough to obama. you are not that happy with him or you wouldn't be undecide or persuadable. but i'm safe. i'm somebody you can trust with the future. bill: the audience is enormous. 50 million americans wi
. president george w. bush wanted to end that which set off a panic and led to romney and kennedy going to the bush administration and cutting a deal with them. massachusetts could keep the money if they put it toward a universal health care plan. that's how it got started. romney and kennedy were trying to keep this federal money. they wanted that money. then the state did two other things. they first covered everyone they could cover in their medicaid problem so they could get the most possible match from the federal government. right now federal medicaid from the federal government -- that is an incredible deal for people in massachusetts. they're getting subsidized by the rest of the country. and then the third way romney paid for it is massachusetts had long before romney was governor, imposed a tax in order to reimburse hospitals for the the care they provided to the uninsured. romney took that tax and put it towards his law. so that's two pots of federal money sand a tax. so how much of romney's proposal relied on these funds? i asked jonathan gruber the mit who helped design the
on this day, in 2000, al gore was ahead of george w. bush by two points. bush was leading him by about three points going into the last weekend, it went all the way to the supreme court. at this point, in 1980, carter was leading reagan by four. there was a gallup with five days left that had him up by six. so, i'm not particularizing this to chuck. but the pollsters and the press don't decide who shows up. the people who decide who shows up are the people who are knocking on doors, ringing doorbells, making phone calls and i think there's going to be a lot of surprises. >> ed rendell, a lot of republicans, like ralph like to go back to the reagan race. the difference is i've discussed this week with some pollsters. he was 20 points up after his this convention. we've seen his ability to create wide swings, we haven't seen that in this race. we're in a much more polarized time in this election. >> look, we all know that the challenger gets a big bump in the first debate. there's no question. just appearing on the stage with the president, looking presidential and boy, mitt romney looks presi
. that was the moment in 1992 then president george h.w. bush looked at his watch during the debate with bill clinton and ross perot. want to talk to dean, a stand-up comedian, writer, and, of course, contributor. dean, you know performing. you have studied these two guys. you write in your blog the candidates who are funny in the debates tend to get elected. what do you think? either one of these guys going to get a laugh? >> i think they're going to try. i'll be honest with you. let's be honest, you don't need a political consultant to tell you, if you make people laugh, you're creating a bomb with them. you're getting an organic disorderly action. they're laughing and they're feeling more warm to you, and i think it's a thing that's overlooked by mft candidates. i think look at ronald reagan's joke. classic. he used it. he destroyed an issue and made himself more likable at the same time. >> do they need to go in with a strategy to be funny, because sometimes when you plan these things and you bomb, it looks even worse. >> i can tell you, i have told many jokes that have bombed in my career. i can
. good choice. go national. go like a pro. >>> president george w. bush appointed john roberts to the high court when chief justice william rehnquist died. the senate confirmed roberts 78-22. justice john paul stevens administered the oath in the east room of the white house. tomorrow is the start of the new term of the supreme court and it's shaping up to be an important one for civil rights. toor more we turn to nbc news justice correspondent, pete williams. >> this supreme court term may be one of the most important in decades for civil rights. with the potential for blockbuster decisions on race and same-sex marriage. the court will examine the widespread practice of considering the race of students who apply for college. the case brought by a white high school senior, abigail fisher who said affirmative action kept her out of the university of texas. >> i always thought from the time i was a little girl that any kind of discrimination was wrong and for an institution of higher learning to act this way makes no sense to me. >> the university says it considers race as one fa
. republicans have a habit of picking people who have run and lost before. there has only been george w. bush since 1976 has been nominated in the republican party without having previously run for and lost the nomination. >> very good point. >> we've only had one ticket, excluding this one that did not include a bush or a dole on it since 1976. >> that's true. >> they pick what they're familiar with, what they're comfortable with. in this election in 2012 they didn't have a lot of options other than mitt romney. i think that probably tells the lock of enthusiasm around his candidacy. what were they going to do, go with michele bachmann, rick perry. >> the comedians were praying for it. i do a lot of stand up on this and you talked about it as well. the gop had seven front runners in this season, governor romney started. no one liked him. michele bachmann bought the iowa straw pole. that's what made tim paw lente drop out. if he stayed, they were looking for the anti romney conservative. they went with michele bachmann which led to rick perry who was a huge front runner until he talked which
's a former top official in the george w. bush administration. sitting on the federal appeals court in d.c. right now, he actually clerked for justice anthony kennedy back in the day. so perhaps that's a leg up. judge diane sykes is a popular conservative on the federal appeals court in milwaukee. so she is a choice too, especially, say, if justice ruth bader ginsburg, one of the liberals were to retire. sykes would probably be a leading candidate. and also have to mention paul clement. this is a really well known lawyer who actually served as the united states solicitor general. and argues a lot of big cases before the court including the health care case. i heard him speak here in washington, d.c. not too long ago. he's a very sharp guy. so a lot of choices there for mitt romney if he gets the job. and assuming somebody steps down, you know, they don't have to step down. >> i know. if you have three potential octogenarians, you have to think who might fit the bill. >>> the surviving d.c. sniper is speaking out in this rare interview from behind bars, maximum security prison in virginia
beat up george w. bush in the first debate back if 2004. but it was clear that mitt romney got a big win because of his strong debate performance. >> or walter mondale on ronald reagan for that matter. onto the conspiracy theory, jared bernstein, we heard from him earlier, he told me also this doesn't deserve any oxygen at all but others keep piling on. are you surprised by these claims from prominent people, well-respected people in industry? >> well, there are two different sort of sets on the republican side here. one is the jack welch side, the steve forbes, the people who are promulgating this conspiracy. the others are the folks who are serious economists. you talk to jared bernstein on the left. but douglashall john mccain's former policy adviser says the same thing in a story this morning. elaine child the former george w. bush's labor secretary said the same thing. so serious republicans who understand that these are two totally different surveys, they sort of understand the process and the way bls works there's not really a conspiracy here. >> can i ask you? you've been aro
in 1984. george w. bush in 2004. norah, charlie, gayle. >> also in denver major garrett, good morning. >> reporter: good morning. >> what does the romney campaign have to do now to take advantage of what everybody believes was a victory in the debate? >> reporter: there's a very simple answer to that. two romney campaign officials told me. if this night works for us our biggest challenge is not dousing the flame we set tonight meaning they know they've internally messed up advantages and advantageous moments that romney separates his campaign. they know now the most important between this debate and the next one not to blow the momentum. to blow on that fire and make it larger and not douse it. >> what's the challenge for the obama campaign? >> reporter: to bounce back. two very significant democrats who i talked to last night looking at the debates said i would call the debate trading places. mitt romney's back was against the wall now the president's back is against the wall and he needs a much sharper, much more passionate debate performance or people will not have the confidence t
he was trying to say is that the middle class was buried urntd george w. bush and that's what started the problems for the middle class and that the obama administration has started to pull it out by its boot straps. and so the obama campaign just in case we didn't get that has a statement that says that the romney campaign is taking this entirely out of context. it's obviously in looking at the full transcript that joe biden was talking about the fact that the middle class was buried under failed bush policies. and of course they say romney/ryan would change all that. however, this is an opportunity, which the romney campaign is taking to say, you know what, we agree with you. the middle class has been buried and we're going to change that. imagine this as kind of the dry season in the west in the summer. and any match or any lightning strike is going to start a huge fire. and that's what's going on here the closer we get to the election. >> this is coming a day before the debate. how detrimental could this be for the obama campaign? >> i'm sure the obama campaign is thinking this is
is extremely important as you said at the top, george h.w. bush back in 1992 was seen looking at his watch when one of the audience members was asking a question. that was terrible for him. it looked like he didn't care about the audience member or the concerns that audience member had. so body language will be extremely important. so when you look at these camera angles being shown tomorrow night, not only listening to the words but see how the candidates react because that will be a very, very important part of how they are determined about who won or lost tomorrow night, ashleigh. >> president obama mentioned that the homework is a drag. and i think we all agree that homework is a drag. when do they find time for the kind of homework they have to do? and is this really the job of the campaign and debate preppers to make sure they have absolutely everything they need? because they're not really watching a lot of tv right now. >> reporter: well, no. but, of course, you know, i think my children and your children would agree, homewo is a drag. who likes doing it? but it's so important they do f
them know when to fold them ♪ ♪ know when to walk away >> that was former president george h.w. bush referencing what may have been the most important role in poker and in life. you got to know when to hold them and when to fold them. the man who made that phrase famous is with me tonight, kenny rogers. kenny, welcome. >> thank you so. . thanks for having me. >> what is it like to hear an american president just casually referencing you. >> i have to tell you, he has always been so nice to me. they used to send -- he and barbara used to send me hand-written birthday cards every year. there's a picture of me and barbara and she used to say that's her, what i it, mount vernon -- rushmore. they've always been so sweet to me. >> amazing. do i see your politics lean the republican way? >> well, yeah. you can assume that. >> so after the debate you must be a happy guy this week? >> i thought it went really well. i have to admit, i thought it went well. in all fairness, i really wanted obama to be a great president. i really did. but you know, i think, and i wasn't thrilled with romney but
go back to when george w. bush was president of the united states and when gas was, what, 3 bucks a gallon, something like that? it was gigantic letters on the headline, the paper of the "new york times" where they were hammering it. now we've got a president where the gas has doubled. i think it was 1.85 when he took office. now close to 4 bucks. >> i think that we have seen, steve, an amazing propensity of the media to kind of put a very positive spin on some pretty not so impresssive economic news. >> steve: what is that? >> because maybe i think a number of us have been stunned by the extent to which this time at least headline writers seem to lean towards democrats. if you have headline about slow growth, you would expect to see that in the headline. but instead, you see a headline in the times or the journal about a stock surge instead. they did a study at -- aei did a study that showed 15% of the headline which is tended to be more positive given grim economic news and when you're talking about democrats. >> steve: the word is not getting out. >> they're cheerleading they'r
. >> reporter: leonard rodriguez coordinated strategy for george w. bush's presidential campaign. we met in his san antonio home. >> how do candidates fall into this pitfall of appearing to pandering to a bloc. >> talking one way to a group of individuals and then going into the next event and talking predominantly to a group of hispanic individuals. it forces a candidate to look out there, know he's not talking and delivering a message that has to bring the two groups of people together. >> reporter: television ads offer a snapshot to president obama and mitt romney's strategy in courting latino voters. the obama campaign is using latino celebrities, targeting education, immigration and the appointment of sonia sotomayor as the first hispanic justice on the supreme court. but the romney campaign is using family. mitt romney's son, craig, who speaks fluent spanish, talks about american values and bipartisanship. this is the chief marketing offer of cultural strategies, he's analyzed the marketing strategies and sees obama and romney targeting specific groups in the latino community. romney chas
in the second debate, they could get on a roll in the same way george w. bush did against al gore in 2000. >> governor romney seemed to be pro-regulation. he said he was against cutting taxes for the wealthy in this debate. some see this as a bit of a transformation, a move to the middle a month before the election. is that what's happening here and might it benefit him going forward? >> well, i think it will benefit him, lester. i don't think it's a move toward policy. it is in tone. a lot of people have wondered why mitt romney have not projected that tone earlier. what he was trying to say to americans is i share the values behind the impulse to regulate, to expand health care, to expand education, but i want to do it in a different way and here's why my way is better. that's an effective style of argumentation. that's what he showed. it's going to be up to the president if he can rebut it to do so in the next debate. he didn't do it in the first debate. >> we've got a couple more ahead. john harwood, thanks very much. >> you bet. >> let's get a check of this morning's other headlines.
, george h.w. bush, ross perot, they were the candidates at the time, and she said the town hall style doesn't allow -- specifically she saiding for a female moderator to ask some of the tough questions because it really is just kind of passing the mike from person to person. what do you think of that, what her critique? >> i'm not sure what the -- actually i have carol's debate on a dvd in my office, and i was going from the most recent. i have seen charlie gibson, and -- this debate has -- once the table is kind of set by the town hall questioner, there is then time for me to say, hey, wait a second. what about x, y, z? you said this or you said that. you're sort of the -- they launch the discussion, and then the moderator furthers the discussions as you said this and now you say that. that kind of thing. we hope that kind of group effort can pin down both of these men on a variety of issues. >> and watching the last debate, candy, what do you take away with that in terms of how both of these candidates reacted to jim? is there anything that you learned from it or that you saw that y
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 50 (some duplicates have been removed)

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